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09/08

Toronto, ON Housing Market: 2026 Prices, Trends, and Forecast

The median home price in the City of Toronto dropped to $800,000 in July 2026 – a 5.9% year-over-year decline. Month-over-month, that’s another 4.2% off June 2026’s number. The landscape has shifted enough to impact sellers and anyone buying a home in Toronto, Canada.

Pull back to the broader Greater Toronto Area (GTA) and you’re looking at 5,995 home sales in July 2026, with average prices around $1,003,956. Those two numbers together tell a more complete story than either one does on its own.

Overview of the Toronto Real Estate Market

The July 2026 Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB) report captures a market in the middle of a real transition. Active listings in the city fell to 9,310 – down 14.8% from a year earlier. The broader GTA followed the same pattern, with active listings dropping 12.1% annually to 26,098. Fewer homes available, across the board.

What that shrinking supply is doing to the sales-to-new-listings ratio is worth watching closely. It climbed to 45.0% in July 2026, up from 40.1% in June and 36.7% the previous year. The direction is clear: conditions that recently favoured buyers are slowly tipping toward something more balanced – and eventually more seller-favourable – as fewer new listings come on to replace what’s being sold.

Median and Average Home Prices in Toronto, ON

Across 2,242 sales in July 2026, the city’s average home price came in at $1,010,836 – a 3.2% decline year-over-year and a 6.5% drop from June 2026. The median sale price settled at $800,000.

For the broader GTA, the MLS Home Price Index (HPI) Composite benchmark fell 4.6% annually to $934,600. Toronto’s specific home price index declined 3.8% over the same period.

Where you buy and what you buy still drives pricing more than any headline number. A detached house inside the city limits is a very different purchase than a condo out in the suburbs.

House and Condo Prices per Square Foot

If you’re trying to compare properties by size rather than sticker price, the per-square-foot numbers from mid-2026 are useful. Houses in Toronto were listing at a median of $916 per square foot. Apartments and condos came in a bit lower at $878 per square foot – a modest but real gap depending on how much space you need.

Current Housing Market Trends and Inventory

The 9,310 active listings in the City of Toronto aren’t just down year-over-year – they’re also 7.3% lower than June 2026 alone. That’s a fast drop in a short window. Buyers who spent the last year with plenty of options to browse are going to feel the difference.

Homes are also sitting a touch longer than they were. Across the GTA, the average days on market in July 2026 was 32 days, up from 30 days a year earlier. Live Toronto MLS data shows a median of about 31 days. Average property days on market runs higher, at 45 days – that figure captures the full time a property is listed, including any stretches that involved a price reduction or a relisting, so it’s a different metric than it might first appear.

Market Forecast and Buying Conditions

The drop in new listings is outpacing the drop in sales. If that gap holds through late 2026, available inventory tightens further and competition among buyers picks up with it.

For sellers, the sales-to-new-listings ratio is the number to watch. Once it pushes meaningfully past 45.0%, negotiating leverage shifts in your favour.

Cost of Living and Affordability in Toronto

The median household income in the City of Toronto is $84,000 annually, according to 2021 Census data from Statistics Canada. The broader Toronto region sits somewhat higher, at an average household income of around $97,000.

Set those income figures against an $800,000 median home price and the down payment math gets serious quickly. Monthly carrying costs – mortgage payments, property taxes, utility bills, condo maintenance fees where applicable – need to be part of your calculation before you make an offer, not after.

Practical Tips for Buyers and Sellers

Location specifics matter more than people expect. A condo in the M5V postal code operates in a different micro-market than a detached house in the suburbs, and treating them as interchangeable will get you in trouble when you’re trying to time a transaction.

Sellers, take the 45-day average property days on market seriously. Proper pricing from day one does more to reduce your time on market than almost anything else you can control.

Buyers, get your mortgage pre-approval sorted before you start touring. As inventory shrinks and the market tightens, knowing exactly what you can spend stops you from wasting time on properties that were never realistic.

Frequently Asked Questions

How much should I budget for the municipal and provincial double land transfer tax when buying a home in Toronto?

Check with a local real estate professional or the City of Toronto’s official website for current rates. TRREB’s July 2026 market data centres on the $1,010,836 average home price and doesn’t break out specific municipal tax levies.

Are sellers still using holding offer nights to trigger bidding wars in the current Toronto market?

It depends on the property and the neighbourhood. The sales-to-new-listings ratio reached 45.0% in July 2026, which signals a tightening market, but homes are still sitting for a median of about 31 days – so it’s not uniform across the board.

What happens if I fail to declare my property status for the Toronto Vacant Home Tax before listing my house for sale?

Review the City of Toronto’s official guidelines on Vacant Home Tax declarations. The market data tracking 9,310 active listings in the city doesn’t extend to municipal tax penalties – that’s a separate conversation with someone who knows the city’s rules.

Who qualifies for an exemption from the Non-Resident Speculation Tax when purchasing real estate in Toronto, Canada?

Exemptions depend on specific provincial criteria. Talk to a legal professional – standard market data covering median prices and inventory levels doesn’t outline tax exemption rules, and this isn’t an area where you want to guess.

How does the cost of buying a detached home within Toronto city limits compare to the surrounding GTA suburbs?

The GTA-wide average home price was $1,003,956 in July 2026, while the City of Toronto’s average came in slightly higher at $1,010,836. At the per-square-foot level, houses in the city were listing at a median of $916 per square foot, though pricing shifts considerably by property type and specific location.

What standard conditions are buyers successfully including in Toronto real estate offers without losing the deal?

Financing and inspection conditions are the most common, but how far you can push depends on the specific listing. With active listings down to 9,310 and conditions shifting toward sellers, talk to your agent about how to structure an offer that’s competitive without being reckless.